How to bound $\sum_{ j=1}^n j^{n-j}?$ [duplicate]
Let $0<a<b<1$. For every $an\leqslant k\leqslant bn$, $k^{-k+n+1}\geqslant(an)^{(1-b)n}$ hence $H_n\geqslant(b-a)n(an)^{(1-b)n}$. Thus $\log (H_n)\geqslant (1-b)n\log(n)+(1-b)n\log(a)+\log(b-a)$, which proves that $$ \liminf\limits_{n\to\infty}\log(H_n)/(n\log(n))\geqslant1-b. $$ On the other hand, $$ H_{n+1}=n+1+\sum\limits_{k=1}^nk^{n+2-k}\leqslant n+1+n\sum\limits_{k=1}^nk^{n+1-k}=n+1+nH_n. $$ Hence, as @J.J. noted in a comment, if $H_n<n!$ then $$H_{n+1}<n+1+n\cdot n!\leqslant(n+1)!$$ if $n+1\leqslant n!$, that is, if $n\geqslant3$. Since $H_3=8>3!$ but $H_4=22<4!$, this proves that $H_n<n!$ for every $n\geqslant4$. Thus, $$ \color{red}{\lim\limits_{n\to\infty}\log(H_n)/(n\log n)=1}, $$ which may be rewritten as $H_n=n^{n+o(n)}$. To go further, rewrite the inequality between $H_n$ and $H_{n+1}$ written above as $$ \frac{H_{n+1}}{n!}\leqslant\frac{n+1}{n!}+\frac{H_n}{(n-1)!}, $$ which, since $H_1=1$, shows that $H_{n}<(2\mathrm e)(n-1)!$ for every $n\geqslant1$.
Be aware though, that this is not the end of the story yet since, for every positive integer $k$, there exists a finite constant $c_k$ such that $H_n<c_k(n-k)!$ for every $n\geqslant k$... hence $$ \color{blue}{H_n=n^{n-\alpha(n)}}, $$ with $\alpha(n)\to+\infty$ and $\alpha(n)/n\to0$ when $n\to\infty$.
My approach is very much along the same line as that of leonbloy.
Let $f(k) = k^{n+1-k}$. Use Euler-Maclaurin formula:
$$ \begin{eqnarray} \sum_{k=1}^n f(k) &=& \int_1^n f(x) \mathrm{d} x + \frac{1}{2} \left( f(1) + f(n) \right) + \sum_{m=1}^q \frac{B_{2m}}{(2m)!} \left( f^{(2m-1)}(n) - f^{(2m-1)}(1) \right) \\ &&+ \frac{1}{(2q)!} \int_1^n B_{2q}(\{t\}) f^{(2q)}(t) \mathrm{d} t \end{eqnarray} $$ Since $f(1) = 1$ and $f(n)=n$. Asymptotically, $f^{(2m-1)}(1) \sim -n \cdot \log^{2m-1}(n)$ and $f^{(2m-1)}(n) \sim n^{2m-1}$.
Thus the main term comes from the integral. Let $x=1+(n-1)t$. $$ \int_1^n x^{n+1-x} \mathrm{d} x = (n-1) \int_0^1 \left( 1 + (n-1) t \right)^{t+n(1-t)} \,\, \mathrm{d} t $$ The integrand is sharp-peaked with peak location at $$ t_0 = \frac{1}{n-1} \left( \frac{n+1}{W((n+1) \, \mathrm{e})} -1 \right) $$ Logarithm of the integrand, expanded in the vicinity of $t_0$: $$ \left( n + t - n t \right) \log\left(1 + (n-1) t \right) = (n+1) \left( w_n + \frac{1}{w_n} - 2 \right) - \frac{\sigma_n}{2} ( t-t_0)^2 + o((t-t_0)^2) $$ where $w_n = W((n+1)\mathrm{e})$ and $\sigma_n = \frac{(n-1)^2 w_n ( w_n + 1)}{n+1}$.
Thus $$ \sum_{k=1}^n k^{n+1-k} \sim \exp\left( (n+1) \left( w_n + \frac{1}{w_n} - 2 \right) \right) \sqrt{\frac{2\pi (n+1)}{w_n (1+w_n)}} $$
Here is the numerical simulation, showing the agreement on logarithmic scale:
Another idea, aproximating to an integral and using Laplace
$$H_n=\sum_{k=1}^{n} k^{n+1-k} \approx \int_1^n x^{n+1-x} dx$$
Let $m=n+1$:
$$\int x^{m-x} dx = \int e^{m g(x)} dx \hspace{20px} , \hspace{20px} g(x)=\left(1- \frac{x}{m}\right)\log(x)$$
The global maximum of $g(x)$ is attained (after some manipulation) at $$x_0(m)=\frac{m}{W( e \; m)} \approx \frac{m}{1+ \log m - \log (1 +\log m)}$$
where $W(\cdot)$ is the Lambert function (the last asymptotic approximation is to get an idea of the order, but it can/should be refined see here - all asymptotics are tricky here.)
Now, we approximate the integral by Laplace method:
$$I(m) \approx e^{m g(x_0)} \sqrt{\frac{2 \pi}{m |g''(x_0)|}}=x_0^{m+1-x_0} \sqrt{\frac{2 \pi}{m+x_0}}$$
Or
$$\log H_n \approx (n+2-x_0) \log(x_0) + \frac{1}{2}\log{\frac{2 \pi}{n+1+x_0}}$$ with $x_0 = (n+1) /W(e \; (n+1))$
Some Maxima code
g(x,M):=(1-x/M)*log(x);
define(g1(x,M) , diff(g(x,M),x));
define(g2(x,M) , diff(g(x,M),x,2));
h1(M):=M/lambert_w(M * %e);
s(M):=sum(k^(M-k), k,1, M-1);
ap1(M):= h1(M)^(M+1-h1(M)) * sqrt(2*%pi/(M+h1(M)));
ap1l(N) := (N+2-h1(N+1)) * log(h1(N+1));
ap2l(N) := ap1l(N) + log(2*%pi/(N+1+h1(N+1)))/2;
This approach might be specially useful to compute numerically the sum for large values of $N$. For example, some values of $log(H_n)$
n exact approx
30 49.72538546 49.72496938
100 246.40058178 246.40036689
1000 4271.07746405 4271.07742927