Probability question with a deck of cards
Solution 1:
The unknown developments prior to the selection do not affect the probability of the outcome of that selection.
The key point is that you have no knowledge of the symbol of the cards for the first 11 draws. So, you cannot have any idea about the symbol of the 12th card. So, all the developments, related to the symbol of the cards are unknown to you and the initial probability do not change.
Knowing the first 10 being the 11th card however would have an impact on the number of the 12th card.