Motivation for an inequality

Solution 1:

Depends what you mean by 'natural', but here is an explanation you may find useful, if you're happy with the union bound.

Suppose $x$ is the probability that a coin comes up heads. What is the probability that in $n$ independent flips we get at least one head? One way to think about this is that this is the probability that either the first flip is heads, or the second flip, or the third, and so on.

The union bound states that $\mathbb{P}(A_1\cup\cdots \cup A_n)$ is at most $\mathbb{P}(A_1)+\cdots+\mathbb{P}(A_n)$. If we let $A_i$ be the event that the $i$th flip comes up heads, then $\mathbb{P}(A_i)=x$, and so

$$\mathbb{P}(\textrm{at least one coin is heads}) \leq nx.$$

On the other hand, the left-hand side is

$$1-\mathbb{P}(\textrm{all coins are tails})=1-(1-x)^n,$$

and so

$$ 1-(1-x)^n \leq nx.$$