What are the Odds of Receiving a "Mystery Decal" in a Crate?

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Each item within a crate has been designated with a certain rarity, with the "Mystery Decal" being the rarest object within a crate.

What are the odds of receiving this item in a crate? Does it vary between the different types of crates? (Ex. Player's Choice vs. Turbo)

Mystery Decal


Solution 1:

The drop chance for Black Market decals is the same across all crates.

Psyonix has not released any official rates so the exact drop rate is unknown. There has been some analysis of crate openings done and the speculation is that the BM chances are between 1-2%. The analyses below have determined a rate of 1.2% and 1.4% respectively so 1-2% is a fair estimate. Best of luck opening crates if you go down that route!

Sources:

  • Reddit 1

  • Reddit 2

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