What is the equation used to calculate a linear trendline?
What are the equations to calculate a linear trendline over a set of points?
EDIT: "In excel it is done automatically but how to manually calculate a linear trendline over a set of points" was originally the question. At first I asked this question because I was simply doing it with excel all the time and couldn't figure out how it computed the result. People tend to focus on the excel part instead of the actual question so I just removed this mention.
Solution 1:
I've been looking for this formula in this website so I've made it Q&A style :) Hope this helps.
Slope;
$$\alpha = {n\sum(xy) - \sum x \sum y \over n\sum x^2 - (\sum x)^2}$$
Offset:
$$\beta = {\sum y - \alpha \sum x \over n}$$
Trendline formula:
$$y = \alpha x + \beta $$
source : https://classroom.synonym.com/calculate-trendline-2709.html
Solution 2:
For Excel, let $r$ be Pearson's r, $s_x$ the standard deviation and $\bar{X}_x$ the mean of all the numbers on the x-axis, $s_y$ the standard deviation and $\bar{X}_y$ the mean of all the numbers on the y-axis.
Then the slope will be $a = r \frac{s_y}{s_x}$ and y-intercept $b = \bar{X}_y - a \bar{X}_x$, for linear trendline $y = ax + b$.